Originally, ocean temperatures were leading forecasters to predict a weak El Nino winter.
But professor of atmospheric sciences Clifford Mass says El Nino has run out of steam, and the current forecasts suggest a neutral winter.
He says neutral winters bring "normal" weather but with a greater chance of major floods, windstorms, and snowstorms.
Wind patterns during El Nino or La Nina winters usually keep big storms from forming in Western Washington.
The infamous 1962 Columbus Day storm and the 1993 inauguration day storm both occurred during neutral winters.
You can check out professor mass's weather blog at www.cliffmass.blogspot.com.